THE EARLY FINAL: TWO SUPERPOWERS IN COMPARISON
The Etihad Stadium will take hold in the quarter-final – at least on paper – most beautiful of all. The duel will pit Man City and Bayern Munich, perhaps just the two biggest suspects (along with Real Madrid) for the final victory of the competition. After crashing Leipzig and Psg respectively, the two battleships will duel to avoid derailing prematurely from the winning ride. Unmissable match!
HERE MANCHESTER CITY:
The City of Guardiola never stops. After a somewhat uncertain start to the calendar year, with the elimination from the EFL Cup and a few too many hiccups, the citizens have embarked on the path of success, ringing 12 consecutive useful results, among which there are as many as 10 victories. Specifically, Pep's battleship is back from 8 hits in a row, which relaunched it in pursuit of the Premier summit held by Arsenal.
To pull the cart, along with the other 10 phenomena, there is Haaland, about which every word would be wasted. In the 7-0 scored at Leipzig, in the round of 16 (return), he became the youngest to score 5 goals in a Champions League match, as well as the only one along with Leo Messi. Not even in mid-April, he has already scored 30 goals in the league, reaching 44 centers in 38 season games. Thanks to his double at Southampton (1-4) and the gunners' simultaneous small misstep, City can concretely return to dreaming of the triplet (Premier, FA Cup, UCL). First, however, there is a very fearsome Bayern Munich to beat, as well as to bring down the taboo-Champions of Guardiola.
In the usual 3-2-4-1 particular of the Spanish coach, former on duty, there will be no Foden, still out due to injury. Behind the Norwegian phenomenon here is Grealish and Mahrez on the bands, with Gundogan and De Bruyne more centered.
HERE BAYERN MUNICH:
Like a bolt from the blue, the exoneration of Nagelsmann was announced ex abrupto. The very talented, as well as very young, former Bayern coach was taken out by surprise during the break for the national teams for extra-scistic reasons, as Bayern – net of some uncertainty in the league – were leading a season of absolute level, with roller-compressor rhythms. And so, out of nothing, here is the arrival of Tuchel, who had started the European season on the Chelsea bench and who, then, found himself catapulted into a duel of good fire the landing in the semifinals.
The new Bavarian coach still has yet to break through his new team at his best: after a precious victory against Dortmund at the debut, he prematurely said goodbye to the DFB Pokal, losing at home to Freiburg (1-2), and then immediately make up for it, although sobbing, in the league (1-0). Few elements from which to draw a concrete analysis on the new Bayern.
What seems certain, however, is the system of play: confirmed the 4-2-3-1 from the particularly thick midfield, almost similar to a 4-1-4-1, able to offer greater balance (and less offensiveness) than the Nagelsmann era. Against City, the Bavarians will be devoid of long-term residents Hernandez and Neuer, but also of Tel and Upamecano. There will be Sanè, Muller and Musiala in support of Manè.
After crashing – both on the outward and return – the Psg of the stars, Bayern intends to continue its European rise, albeit with a different helmsman.
PROBABLE LINEUP
Manchester City (3-2-4-1): Ederson; Akanji, Dias, Akè; Stones, Rodri; Mahrez, De Bruyne, Gundogan, Grealish; Haaland. All.: Guardiola.
FC Bayern München (4-2-3-1): Sommer; Cancelo, Pavard, De Ligt, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Sanè, Muller, Musiala; Manè. All.: Tuchel.
HERE ARE THE MOST INTERESTING PREDICTIONS AND TIPS FROM MANCHESTER CITY-BAYERN MONACO
Numbers and curiosities:
City and Bayern have already crossed paths 10 times in their own history, but just 6 times in the Champions League. The curiosity is that there has never been a parity hypothesis. In UCL they prevailed 3 times each. Altogether, in all competitions, 5 times each, bordering on perfect parity.
The crosses between Guardiola and Tuchel, on the other hand, are 10: 6 wins in favor of the Spaniard, 3 of the German and only one tie.
City are back from 8 wins in a row and 12 consecutive useful results.
Both teams recorded an “over 2.5” score in as many as 4 of their last 5 contested challenges.
On as many occasions, the ‘goal’ result has been recorded in Bayern matches.
The final examination:
The revolution on the bench at Bayern inevitably conjured up a veil of rather dense unpredictability around the rotenbullen. If the latter, before, seemed to be one of the very few battleships capable of containing Guardiola's overflowing Man City, it is now inevitable that there will be some more doubts. Therefore, Pep's run-in City could win this first act by asserting the house factor and pushing hard on the accelerator to grab an advantage in view of the return to be disputed away from the Etihad. The citizens could win by scoring at least 2 goals. It is not to be excluded that Bayern can also sign up on the scoreboard, guaranteeing a score from “goal+over 2.5” and similar to 3-1/2-1.
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